Will Feinsteins bill pass? No. At least not in this Congress, and Feinstein knows this. Here are few facts:
Republicans control the Senate.
Republicans control the House.
President Trump sits in the Oval Office.
This bill may pass one house in Congress, probably the Senate because the Republican'ts are getting squishy, but that will be its high water mark. There are some other facts to consider:
5,000,000: the number of AR-15 owners (estimated). Source:
https://www.cnbc.com/2016/06/13/owned-by-5-million-americans-ar-15-under-renewed-fire-after-orlando-massacre.html
14,500,000: the number of concealed carry permits in the United States (estimated). Source:
http://www.foxnews.com/us/2017/05/22/demand-soars-for-concealed-carry-permits-data-shows.html
5,000,000: the number of NRA members (estimated) Source:
https://www.washingtonpost.com/news/wonk/wp/2015/10/15/most-gun-owners-dont-belong-to-the-nra-and-they-dont-agree-with-it-either/?utm_term=.ba91758437aa
81,000,000: the number of gun owners in the United States (estimated).
Granted, there is a lot of overlap between these sets of people, but my point is that there are a lot of people that do not want an entire class of rifles, shotguns, and pistols banned. Why does a smart legislator like Feinstein think it can pass? My guess is that she thinks it cannot, but she is going to use this as a campaign tactic to beat Republican'ts over the head during the mid-term elections.
So sad, but I think she will be disappointed, I do not think that this will be effective as a campaign issue. The numbers are bad for the Democrats on this issue. And I will do everything in my power to ensure that happens.
The members of the NRA, GOA, JPFO, and Second Amendment Foundation will be the tip of the spear, but this bill is the hill that we are going to die on, legislatively.
IT. WILL. NOT. PASS.
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